Yang Ruilin, manager of IEK's semiconductor research department, said that although Taiwan's IC output in the second quarter had stopped falling, it was only due to the impact of market adjustments in the third quarter that the output value of Taiwan's IC industry would fall again, and it would not be ready for the peak season.
In the fourth quarter, due to the debt crisis in Europe, the United States, and Japan, the global economy was sluggish, and the demand in the terminal market shrank. Yang Ruilin pointed out that the output value of Taiwan's IC industry will probably fall further. It will be a trough this year, and its performance will be lower than expected, and IEK will therefore Decided to reduce the output value of Taiwan's IC industry this year.
Yang Ruilin estimates that the output value of Taiwan's IC industry this year will be about 1.5214 trillion yuan, which is 8.64% lower than the original estimate of 1.6833 trillion yuan, and will be 11.3% lower than last year. The performance of the IC manufacturing industry is expected to be the worst. The estimated output value is 749.2 billion yuan, which will be 15.3% lower than last year; the output value of the IC design industry will be approximately 415.4 billion yuan this year, a year-on-year decrease of 8.7%. The IC packaging and testing industry will also decline from last year. The annual output value will be 246 billion yuan and 110.8 billion yuan respectively, down 5.7% and 4.7% year-on-year.
The Industrial Economics and Trend Research Center (IEK) of the Institute of Industrial Technology today revised down the output value of Taiwan's IC industry this year to NT$1,521.14 billion, which is expected to be 11.3% lower than last year.